How long can I expect to wait until the local ~30B A3B frontier catches up to GLM 5.3 Flash quality?

The jump from Qwen3 Coder 30B A3B to current-day Qwen 3.6 35B A3B is crazy, especially with all the fine-tunes, and that was around 6 months (I didn't care for local AI back then, or AI at all, apart from as a toy so I don't know). Is around a year until I will never need cloud without buying ridiculously expensive hardware (or any extra hardware at all, just what I have; 16 GB RAM + 8 GB VRAM) a reasonable estimate? Or can I daydream about it happening even faster?